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Other cards like Ajani's Last Stand also play around discard nicely

In the words of System of a Down, Why dont Presidents fight the war

Instead, it seems like Wizards adds up the prices of the cheapest version of a card and attempts to make the drop's total value close to the drop's cost (another recent example of this is the upcoming International Women's Day drop, which costs $50 and has about $48 in value based on the cheapest non-foil printing of the cards in the drop)

Since Alpha , black has been a color of explosive mana and card draw connected to loss of life

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Investing in cards requires speculation and you should have some kind of indicator or theory as to why a card will grow in value ahead of time